Bolton Bailey
@FogOfChess
CS PhD UIUC, mostly in crypto, but I am interested in other things too.
¤25.6k
Net worth
12.2k
Trading volume
35
Total markets
Last traded
Joined — 36 days active
Playstyle
Quester
Creator
Trader
Promoter
Referrer
Balance
Recent Positions
¤1,670 (+52%) No
Will Google Maps still say Gulf of Mexico at the end of February?
¤112 (+12%) Yes
Will the democrats ever control the USA presidency again?
¤112 (+12%) Yes
Will NYC still charge congestion pricing specifically from northern Manhattan to lower Manhattan at the end of August?
¤82 (-18%) Yes
Will Bucca di Beppo still operate at least 10 restaurants in the USA at the end of 2029?
¤350 No
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be Blue?
Recent Questions
What will be the status of theorem marketplaces at the end of 2026?
57% They are extremely niche - 1-6 people regularly use them.
Will Quantum information be primarily transmitted by physical transportation in 2040?
50%
By what date will all of these numbers be factorized?
18% Between 2034-01-01 and 2037-12-31
When will the last SPY kid die?
64% 2070-2089
Status of BB(6) and Antihydra on 2075-01-01
49% BB(6) machine not known, halting status of Antihydra not known