Play Money

politics

Will a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the 2028 elections, before March 2029?

54% Yes

Will a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the mid-term elections (2026), before March 2027?

60% No

When will the next peaceful transfer of power to a left-of-center chief executive be in the U.S.?

79% 2030 - 2039

What will be the result of the next U.S. presidential election?

48% Democrats win the election; peaceful transfer of power on Jan. 20

What will be the Liberal Democracy Index of the United States in 2029?

26% >= 0.65

Will the U.S. be classified as "Partly Free" or "Not Free" by Freedom House by 2030?

64% Yes

Will the U.S. federal government attempt to ban "crossdressing" by January 20, 2029?

63% Yes

Will at least one major Republican politician openly praise Hitler by January 20, 2029?

64% Yes

Will the U.S. federal government attempt to delay or suspend the 2026 midterm elections?

84% No

Will Trump abolish the income tax during his presidency?

55% No

CA, WA, or OR attempts referendum to join Canada by end 2029

82% No

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

56% Yes

Will the 2028 U.S. presidential election be considered significantly less democratic than the 2024 election by outside observers such as OSCE?

55% Yes

Will South Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol (윤석열) be imprisoned by 2030?

70% Yes

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

51% Democratic

Will any state attempt to secede from the U.S. by end 2029?

76% No

Will the EU become a single nation by EOY 2060?

57% No

Will Texas go blue in the 2032 US Presidential Elections?

56% No

Will Josh Shapiro make a bid for President in 2028?

71% Yes

Will Sotomayor Retire During the 2025-2028 Presidential Term?

67% No

Will Dick Cheney live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

60% No

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