Will Trump announce a travel ban for americans to a new country by the end of April? | | ¤500 | |
Will Eric Adams be mayor of NYC when grok 3 releases? | | ¤1,100 | |
Will a company IPO on the NYSE in April? | | ¤650 | |
Will Elon unfollow Noahpinion by the end of April? | | ¤500 | |
Will there be 5 or more scorigamis in the 2025-2026 NFL season and Super Bowl? | | ¤500 | |
Will there be a weird breakout dance scene in Severance Season 2? | | ¤1,300 | |
Will Gwern attend Manifest 2025? | | ¤500 | |
Sweet & Sour Showdown: Will Michigan Sweet be priced higher than Wyoming Sour crude oil on Juneteenth? | | ¤650 | |
Person at McDonalds who tipped off police about Luigi Mangione gets the reward money by June | | ¤1,501 | |
NATO raises defence spending target above 2% GDP by July 2025 | | ¤1,500 | |
Will Trump sell 25% or more of his Truth Social $DJT shares by the end of June 2025? | | ¤750 | |
Will 5000 herds of livestock be infected by H5N1 by the end of June 2025? | | ¤500 | |
Will Elon Musk do the Roman Salute at another public event before the end of June 2025? | | ¤500 | |
Will Safe Superintelligence have more than 100 employees by mid-2025? | | ¤100 | |
Will Marques Brownlee (MKBHD) release a review of Avi Schiffman's Friend AI device before the end of June 2025? | | ¤1,200 | |
Will Elon Musk post a tweet criticizing the choice of the next pope within a month of it being announce? | | ¤900 | |
Will I be able to buy at least one booster pack of Prismatic Evolutions at or below MSRP by July 17, 2025? | | ¤650 | |
How long will it be until I next see a stranger walking down the street yelling slurs into their phone? | 64% Two weeks to a month | ¤650 | |
Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of July? | | ¤1,500 | |
Will multiple Teslas be featured in a Trump Motorcade by the end of July? | | ¤500 | |
DeepMind wins IMO Gold in 2025 | | ¤1,000 | |
Will NYC still charge congestion pricing specifically from northern Manhattan to lower Manhattan at the end of August? | | ¤750 | |
Will the Patriots announce a new head coach before Israel and Hamas announce a ceasefire deal? | | ¤500 | |
Continuous Hex Theorem | | ¤600 | |
Will I be employed by my current company for at least 1 full year? | | ¤500 | |
Will @case spend more than $1000 on magic cards & accessories in the next year? | | ¤1,851 | |
Will Bitcoin BTC reach $111,111 by 11/11/25? | | ¤527 | |
Will Google’s share of the U.S. search ad market drop below 50% in 2025? | | ¤900 | |
Will Ukraine and the US sign the rare earths deal by June 2025 ? | | ¤750 | |
Will the first games in Pokemon's tenth generation be released in 2025? | | ¤2,650 | |
When will OpenAI have its next funding round? | 34% Q2 2025 | ¤760 | |
Will Whatifalthist have an arrest record by the end of 2025? | | ¤500 | |
Will I be able to log into my Google keep at the end of 2025? | | ¤2,500 | |
100x decrease in inference cost by 2026? | | ¤550 | |
Will there be public consensus that Adrian Dittman is directly controlled or associated with Elon Musk by end of 2025? | | ¤575 | |
Will playmoney.dev raise venture capital in 2025? | | ¤1,750 | |
Will ¤ be purchasable in USD at some point in 2025? | | ¤1,710 | |
Will bird flu be added to the WHO's list of emergencies in 2025? | | ¤725 | |
Will a bot be on top of the traders leaderboard at any point in 2025? | | ¤980 | |
Will playmoney.dev raise *capital* from its members in 2025? | | ¤1,700 | |
Bird Flu pandemic this year? | | ¤1,981 | |
Will the California AI regulation bill (SB 1047) or a similar model-level regulation be adopted by at least three other U.S. states by 2026? | | ¤250 | |
Will Squid Game season 3 premiere in 2025? | | ¤725 | |
Polymarket ordered to shut down by US by end 2025 | | ¤855 | |
Valve announces and sells new hardware in 2025 | | ¤1,160 | |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2025? | | ¤1,150 | |
Will Taylor Swift get engaged in 2025? | | ¤1,086 | |
Kalshi ordered to shut down by US by end 2025 | | ¤1,275 | |
Manifold ordered to shut down by US by end 2025 | | ¤1,208 | |
Will I see an aurora by EOY 2025? | | ¤650 | |